Market watch is a front run tool for the pros to make money off the gullible retail investors.
Not out of the woods yet as most pros remain over weight cash and neutral on stocks as Goldman recently reiterated. The market is considered tradable but not investable. They are betting the crazy days will outnumber the sane days over the next 3 years and increased inflation is a given with the tariffs which change with the whims of Trump who is not very stable much less a genius. The new abbreviation among the pros is WTAFITGD . [what the actual f83k is this guy doing]
This is true for EVERY financial publication in existence, not exclusive for Marketwatch. Even the app called Robinhood which sold itself as for being for the littleguy froze trading on many stocks to allow pro-investors to exit & cover in dark pools.
I agree that aggressive/growth investors aren’t out of the woods yet. Perhaps they never will be. But that is what the Marketwatch article discuss. Now what, since big profits have been made from April 2nd Libertarian Day for those who weren’t scared & invested with logic instead of emotion? The lowest the S&P got in April, in all of 2025 was on 4/7 at 4,835. The highest this year was May 13 at 5,906. We’re at 5,890’ish right now, 2 days latter. I would think it prudent to cash in some rewards to have a little dry powder for next time. I also believe the smart money, market makers will throw in some scare days to get cheap stop-loss shares from fickle retail investors on the way up. Goldman Sachs predicts S&P end of year to be 6,100. Alot can happen but I predict 6,500?
The S&P is concentrated on the top 7 stocks so when I look at the valuation of the top 7 I know this is not historically sustainable. The valuations are ridiculous. Even excluding the magnificent 7 the PE is around 20 which is high and I hope it falls to normal. I think that’s likely sooner rather than later. That being said I did OK buying some of the 7 as I am a believer in the greater fool theory ![]()
Heard on CNBC, a new market/trading term: The TACO factor. Trump Always Chickens Out ![]()
Not necessarily, he today said he was wants to impose a 50% tariff on the EU. Why? No one knows. Maybe senility, like Biden? But he may chicken out in a day or so. Art of the deal and all that.
As long as Trump is in office the smart money is keeping money out of stocks and into cash. Anyone can look at their 401k or IRA [if in stocks] performance since November 2024 and judge for themselves how this entire Trump inflicted tariff insanity is working out. ![]()
It’s working out for the Trump Organization. Only the head of it knows when he is going to impose a tariff–and then when he is going to rescind it.
Never in the history of the country has so much inside trading been going on. Billions are likely being made by him and his cronies because of stock market manipulation on a vast scale never seen before.
And then the cult claps because he is draining the Swamp. When in fact the Swamp has never been filling faster.
Amen to that. From the outside looking in there is a sense of disbelief in the limited financial professionals that I know that it is being allowed to happen.
Read “Apple in China” to see how the world we live in happened .
The dude has ALWAYS been nothing but bluster. Loves to talk tough and even cruel but then whines about how unfair it is whenever the tables are turned. His promises are those of a spoiled child, empty and self flattering; and his name calling is that of a school yard bully. I think eventually the financial markets will learn it’s best to ignore him…as we all should have done a long time ago. The words “don’t feed the troll” have never been more appropriate.
It’s frightening to have someone so immature and emotionally underdeveloped in the most powerful office in the world, but that’s democracy. America is unfortunately getting the “leadership” it has chosen and deserves. The sad part is how many of our other elected officials have chosen to go along with it.
More on point per the topic, I’ve been taking multiple bites of the apple shorting the vix after spikes and selling premium on SPY.
The VIX is a complete gamble now so good luck. The entire investing world is on a pause due to the moron running things in the US who has 0 economic sense and barely knows the purpose of tariffs. But the US people elected this self inflicted harm on their own economy so schadenfreude is being enjoyed by many who saw this coming.
Not so! In fact, it’s almost free money.
Shorting VXX, which is an ETN investing in futures contracts, has a built in advantage of a phenomenon known as contango. If the vix were to remain perfectly flat, VXX would steadily lose value over time. The only problem with it now is that the shares are becoming “hard to borrow”, and you have to pay a small fee right now.
I wouldn’t bet on the vix to go up, but shorting after a spike is money in the bank. If it does move against you, you can double down and wait it out. The vix always goes down after spiking.
Would you prefer to keep buying from overseas and the debt to go up and all that USD overseas ( that you borrowed as in funded via debt) comes back into wall street?
Wall street loves it but running deficit budget and trade policy means it has an end one day when the money stops falling from the sky.
( or you declare war and say tough all debt defaulted)
For every year you lose you need one+ to get richer
Most of the US debt is owned by US firms, entities and individuals.
so happy to take a haircut, wont cause an invasion, lol
When the interest rate on bonds go up, and they will, the rich get richer on the new purchases.
yep, wall street makes on profit, the tax payer takes the losses
When the price of bonds & coupon payments go up, it usually means the interest rates went down.
No matter what interest rates, the Federal Reserve & politicians do, the rich will always get richer.
The Wall St traders have a new trading system for the tariffs called TACO. Buy when stocks fall as Trump announces a new tariff and sell when he changes his mind a little later and they go back up. TACO…Trump Always Chickens Out
Yes! And yesterday was TACO Tuesday. A good to day to close a VXX short position.