Oh hey - I spent a lot of life energy supporting and promoting the US flag merchant marine and by default the Jones Act. On Capitol Hill. Daily.
There are many lobbies and interest groups in DC that are working full speed to demonize the Jones Act and US flag carriage requirements. This continues thru spin bins like the Cato Institute.
In my experience these efforts were centered around Big Agriculture, with the cause taken up in legislative hearings by GOP politicians. That is - less money spent on transport = more goods sold. Aāmurcan Jobs? Not a factor.
The House Merchant Marine Subcommittee
and ODS Subsidies were eliminated under GOP congressional leadership although Clinton was President. We were able to cobble together the MSP as a least some form of replacement consolation, now expiring in 2025 of course. If the goal is to cut the Federal budget by a third, well call MARAD and the MSP ātoastā and save the drama.
So the future of US flag shipping is an image / lobby / influence game and right now the winds blow against it.
Who will get the final say in a GOP led Congress and Trump presidency? Hard to say but whoever sings the right tune in the right ears will have the final say because thatās the way the mop flops. It aināt legislation coming from Mr Smith Goes to Washington. Itās from the daily work convincing staffers, congressmen and committees that gets it done and then the President signs the results. Yeah and showing up at fundraisers to grease some palms. Labor could do that very effectively before Citizens United, but now union PAC and maritime industry interests can be outspent 1000:1 by a single individual. Just the way it is.
It is very hard to be convinced maritime labor and (economically) pipsqueak US flag operators are going to have a meaningful voice, or at least one that will be acknowledged, in the discussion involved in any future debate on the fate of the Jones Act.
I bailed out years ago but keep my tickets valid. It was too hard on my mind ā¦ too emotional and viscerally correct that our trade should travel on US bottoms with Aāmurcan crews. But DC and the other lobbies ā¦. Couldnāt and didnāt give a ā¦.
If they can legally do it, every US flag operator from a whale watching boat to the Staten Island ferries to Offshore and deep sea will flick your Amurcan butt overboard and replace you with a Filipino, Bulgarian or whoever signs up under a 12 month contract with no benefits beyond vacation pay and a ticket home. Yeah - I know. Sounds harsh. I worked a few years running a foreign flag operation (outside US market) and we didnāt staff with Americans in general but did have the odd Master or Chief from US.
Just fact from being there doing it, not seditious spin.