550 / (550 + 3673) / 0.92) = 13% infection rate.
If everyone stayed aboard they would have universal infection in another week. Around 450 critical cases and 10 deaths. Maybe that was the Navy’s plan to begin with that Captain Crozier disagreed with?
In a statement on its website, the Navy said 92% of the carrier’s crew members had been tested for the virus, with 550 positive and 3,673 negative results. It said 3,696 sailors had moved ashore.
going up in Singapore after the downward trend and its all local, ouch.
More restrictions now.
That’s an artifact because they update live. The numbers for the day become final a few hours after midnight UTC.
Rejoice, spring fashions are in.
Happy isolated Easter!
Navy reports first death from Covid-19 on Roosevelt.
Doing very good in the early stages of the pandemic, but it’s turning from bad to worse in Singapore lately:
Still not as bad as in many other countries, though. looking at the latest figures from around the world:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Relax guys. You’re in good hands. This will be handled smoothly and wisely. No worries!
Promising medical expert is also Steven Mnuchin who predicted in February that the virus in China would create job opportunities for the US. Look at it now. His crystal ball seems to be off…
Old news.
POTUS45* just sacked the lot, because they gave him a look. The new council: the cast of the Angel TV series, Fifth Season.
Still some clueless but adorable eye-candy to replace Ivana. But two vampire diversity hires instead of just Jared. Replacing Ross, another immortal demon. Now, instead of Mnuchin, who makes things up, you get a British guy who researches fantasy scrolls on the internet (same thing–cooler accent). And a single street-wise, inner-city chick magnet to replace Kudlow, Meadows and Lightsaber, who wish they could have been him, if their parents hadn’t nicknamed them “Chip” or “Trip” in middle school.
In sycophantic terms. Absolutely!
Sad. Statistically expected. 0.2% for that age range, or one for every five hundred infected. About 550 infected so it’s right on the money.
Imagine if Roosevelt has got underway like Big Navy probably wanted? In a week they would have had universal infection and another nine dead, statistically speaking. Infect her escorts so another four dead. So fourteen dead per carrier strike group.
How dare you, Sir! 
Trump stirred up a hornet’s nest in his last briefing by claiming “total authority”. We call that chasing the cat into the curtains. The governors don’t accept this. At the same time he doesn’t take responsibility for anything. A sad case of contradictio in terminis.
Some other observations and quotes from last days briefing.
An angry and very emotional Trump turns briefing into a propaganda session.
We got it right! The problem is the press.
Trump refuses to acknowledge any mistakes. (It was all perfect.)
Trump melts down in angry responses about reports that he ignored virus warnings.
And the world looks on this play and wonders what went wrong in the US…
What went wrong was nothing the Founders didn’t anticipate and attempt to safeguard against. There are two remedies with this kind of problem, one works quicker than the other, but it relies on a partisan faction correcting itself, impeachment and conviction. But when the partisan faction is all in on power over principles that method doesn’t work.
The other is slower but it is in evident operation. Republicans lost the House in 2018, blue wave is still in evidence and most polls have shown Trump underwater no matter who the Dem challenger would have been, and general disapproval of performance.
as expressed by Madison concerning the dangers of faction in Federalist Ten:
“ It is in vain to say that enlightened statesmen will be able to adjust these clashing interests, and render them all subservient to the public good. Enlightened statesmen will not always be at the helm. Nor, in many cases, can such an adjustment be made at all without taking into view indirect and remote considerations, which will rarely prevail over the immediate interest which one party may find in disregarding the rights of another or the good of the whole.
The inference to which we are brought is, that the CAUSES of faction cannot be removed, and that relief is only to be sought in the means of controlling its EFFECTS .
If a faction consists of less than a majority, relief is supplied by the republican principle, which enables the majority to defeat its sinister views by regular vote. It may clog the administration, it may convulse the society; but it will be unable to execute and mask its violence under the forms of the Constitution.”
To Madison’s above i would append the last sentence with, “but they’re sure gonna try.”
Nice use of the Federalist Papers, and I would mostly agree with your analysis. But, I do think your conclusion is overbroad.
If you compare the discussions in The Papers with the resultant Impeachment Clause in the Constitution, you can see divergence. The limited grounds for impeachment don’t include gross incompetence.
It is very doubtful that the Founding Fathers ever even considered the possibility that someone with Trump’s lack of intellect, knowledge, judgment etc. could rise to the office of President.
The other shortcoming lies in the Senate. The Founders relied upon lealty to the country and to their respective oathes. What we received instead was self-interest for one’s own position of power.
In the end though, there is still an election in November to right this wrong. It’s a pity that we must wait so long for justice. “Justice delayed is justice denied.”
This corona thing has all the US politicians bewildered. First time they have run across a threat they couldn’t take care of by buying, bribing or bombing.
I disagree that it’s overly broad conclusion, impeachment under constitutional authority may have gained a new shading, but the record speaks to its broader use—see the Pickering impeachment. It’s as broad, or as narrow, as the politics and partisanship will allow it to be, especially now. Historians will one day have insights into how or why key Republicans decided that they could stomach the obvious coverup and willful dereliction in the Senate just to prevent President Pence, but it’s neither here nor there. The main remedy—elections will have to define the future.
The Federalist Papers are important, now more than ever when we are literally watching the shortfalls of the Articles of Confederation and strength of the Union under the Constitution (were it in proper hands) and dangers the Founders did their best to prepare against. There are times when we’re fifty states and times when we’re one nation as fictional President Bartlett said.
South Dakota Governor Noem has now joined Florida Governor di Santis and Georgia Governor Kemp as a contender for the, “It’ll Be Gone by April–Wait, it’s April?” Award.
From WAPO (edited at…):
…South Dakota is home to one of the largest single coronavirus clusters anywhere in the United States, with more than 300 workers at a giant pork-processing plant falling ill. With the case numbers continuing to spike, the company was forced to announce the indefinite closure of the facility Sunday, threatening the U.S. food supply…
Citing scientific modeling, the governor acknowledged this month that up to 70 percent of residents in her state may ultimately fall ill with covid-19. But, she suggested, it wasn’t up to government to tell them how to behave…Noem on Monday continued to defend her approach, saying the state had high levels of voluntary participation in social distancing strategies — “much greater than some of those states that issued shelter-in-place orders.”…
Noem, who said she was closely coordinating with the White House, focused her remarks on a trial of hydroxychloroquine, the anti-malarial drug that President Trump has frequently touted as a possible remedy for the coronavirus, though its effectiveness has not been proved. Scientists in Brazil stopped a study of a similar drug in coronavirus patients after some developed irregular heart rates…
But public health experts say such an order is what’s needed, even in a rural state such as South Dakota…More than 160 county and city leaders in South Dakota have also petitioned Noem, urging her to declare a statewide public health emergency.
Rapid City Mayor Steve Allender was among those who signed…Now, economic pain from the shutdown is growing — and so is frustration that the city’s businesses have been closed while others nearby remain open. Without the state backing him up, Allender said, it will be tough to hold the line.
I like Larry Kudlow, and his ideas .Feel free to blast me, I have big shoulders.
One of Trump’s latest tweets:
Tell the Democrat Governors that “Mutiny On The Bounty” was one of my all time favorite movies. A good old fashioned mutiny every now and then is an exciting and invigorating thing to watch, especially when the mutineers need so much from the Captain. Too easy!
Somebody responded:
Mutiny on the Bounty was about the ruthless, unjust, tyrannical Captain Bligh of the HMS Bounty who shackled his own crew and tortured so many of his own men that they mutinied against him. It’s fascinating that Trump sees himself as Captain Bligh. It’s quite terrifying as well.
