Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model - FiveThirtyEight

Not a bad article from 538 about the issues with creating a covid-19 model.


But then you start trying to fill in the blanks. That’s when you discover that there isn’t a single number to plug into … anything. Every variable is dependent on a number of choices and knowledge gaps. And if every individual piece of a model is wobbly, then the model is going to have as much trouble standing on its own