Well, that would be telling.
I see it this way: If vessels are able to leave the dock, contracts are not being lost due to manning issues and we are able to get a relief on crew change day…how is there a shortage other than in peoples own minds?
If there were, there would be boats tied up, lost contracts, company’s scalping one another for their employees, hiring bonuses, pay increases. I don’t see any of that happening and probably not anytime soon.
If companies are unable to attract talent to their own individual sector that’s simply a “them” problem, an economics issue for them to solve, not necessarily a problem for the industry as a whole.
The worst case scenario honestly, is we may be asked to work over from time to time.
There are almost always several others who are more than willing to do just that for extra cash.
We can just as easily decline and still go home nine times in ten because there’s always someone who needs it.
Most companies like to keep a deficit of crew, it saves them money on insurance premiums.
So again, if there is a shortage? In what sector, at what companies? I’m not seeing it here.
Maybe in the Union, perhaps on ships? Is it on ATB’s moving oil where they wring out every ounce they can from their guys and they aren’t getting compensated nearly enough for putting their license and health on the line pumping cargo and then being a mindless “Buoy Mate” the other 90% of the time?
There’s not a shortage of warm bodied officers here, we really do have enough. Literally people lined up applying for senior positions that rarely open up because everyone is so comfortable.
1500 newly minted officers have been thrown into the mix, (see link posted by Mr.Cavo) further diluting the talent pool with inexperienced mariners and further devaluing our licenses. They won’t stop pumping them out anytime soon either.
There’s a glaringly obvious shortage of experience, competency and skill but not Mariners, at least from my perspective.