Comfortable in my house, freezers are full, have TP (Not hoarding) for a good while. Buying stock at an incredible discount. Worried about the economy? Absolutely
Makes sense, though I havenât completely come to grips with that article. Also, regardless of this, exponential canât go on for ever because of pool exhaustion.
But right now itâs tracking very well indeed.
2 Likes
WAPO this morning has a great animation showing this very concept, and the other possible scenarios of spread. Easy to understand animated visualizations of what happens in the different scenarios. They donât have a paywall for the COVID content, so anybody can view it.
2 Likes
Of all the good (bad or useless) advise available around I think the one about Corona Beer as an antidote is the most promising. (If you like weak tasteless beer that is)
Exponential in this case is, according to the book: âreasonably accurate for many populations, at least for limited periods of timeâ
1 Like
Hereâs the scoop on chloroquine and coronavirus:
Derekâs blog is worth checking now and then. A lot of it is way over my head but heâs a real expert in the field of medicinal chemistry.
Earl
2 Likes
Here we call that owl piss beer.
âCactus pissâ is a more common term in my vocabulary
And his series on to the effect of âThings I wonât work withâ is richly rewarding.
That would be mezcal, no? Or pulque?
I suppose agave isnât really a cactusâŠ
Pulque is apt. It is undistilled.
1 Like
Exponential is the most useful and can be the most accurate, but itâs the log function that canât be overlooked. In the real world, exponentials are used to determine inflection points more than anything; with a range of positive infinity, it makes sense this doesnât work forever, we are not going there proportionally. The article is right in that regard.
The derivative of e to the x, is e to the x, and the natural log of e to the x, is just x. The derivative of a power, like x^2, is 2x. This is an instantaneous rate of change at a point. You can manipulate it, but itâs far less useful and even more limited since the rate of change is limited. With power growth, you can use the limits to get the rate of change. In either case, you still arrive at the same solution as with the derivative rules, just to a point â relative to time in this case
For exponentials, the constant can be changed for accurate projections in ever-changing circumstances. The beauty of exponentials is the relationship with natural logs. Finding decay rates of carbon atoms over time, growth rates, ⊠are figured through natural logs â the relationship with Eulerâs number (exponentials) makes it all work. Any scientist making projections, I would bet anything theyâre using logs, but this can be a misnomer without knowing the relationships with e, and what exponentials really mean.
Someone already posted a Youtube video from 3 Blue Brown (one of my favorite Youtube channels of all time). Grant Sanderson quit Khan Academy and started this channel a few years ago. Heâs one of the best young math guys we have is this country, and really helped me with differentials. Heâs turned down many opportunities to stay at what heâs doing. I would use that resource for any type of modeling verification. A journalist major with a graphics background, less so.
3 Likes
The Mooch speaks.
OK so âCactus Pissâ is not a scientific correct term, but it do the job for me.
Take your own pick of poison to fit the term (or vv.)
1 Like
The only thing scarier than Trump remaining in office for a single day longer is the thought of Pence taking over.
Pence at least has a fully functional brain and knows how government works. How could it possibly be worse?
Mike Pompeo just stated on national TV that we should only listen to Donald the Orange and the administration for truth about the growing disaster.
Maybe he needs to read this:
1 Like
Did you forget to add the ironic laughter emoticon?
1 Like
How political can we be? This is bad shit people, stay away.
If it were not for the most disgusting politics in modern American history the âbad shitâ we are in might have been a lot less bad. The ego of a madman is going to kill many more Americans than it already has.
1 Like