In science, to test a theory for validity, it must have both predictive ability and be verified by experimental evidence.
Applying this discipline to this scenario…noting, of course, that in social “science”, that the rigor of real science is neither going to be available nor testable…let’s go ahead and try a “thought experiment”, such as what Einstein used to conjure up his theories of relativity.
[B][U]Question: How would a dis-honest guilty part act upon being caught[/U][/B]?
Answer: Denial. They would deny they are the wrong-doer, or deny that any wrong has occurred.
Example:
“It’s just a small spill in a large ocean.”
“It’s just 1,000 barrels a day.”
[B][U]Question: Suppose there is no doubt (evidence) that a wrong has occurred[/U][/B]?
Answer: Deflection…it’s the Other People that are truly guilty.
Example:
“It’s the fault of the government/MMS/etc. They didn’t do their job well enough to prevent us from behaving in this manner.”
“It’s the operator’s fault, it’s the cementer’s fault, it’s the BOP manufacturer’s fault.”
“it’s the firefighter’s/Coast Guard’s fault…if they had not put out the fire, the rig would not have sunk, all would be well.”
[B][U]Question: Suppose there is no doubt that a wrong has occurred, and the first line of attack against Others fails[/U][/B]?
Answer: Re-direction…since the larger players will fight back, blame the small people and the victims.
Example:
“If you drive a car, eat food, or use air-conditioning, it’s really [B]YOU[/B] that are to blame for this disaster.”
“It’s the fishermen that were docked at the rig that night which caused the explosion.”
"It’s the small people who are “particularly likely to file bogus claims” that are at fault.
[B][U]Question: Suppose the small people ain’t buying that load of crap[/U][/B]?
Answer: Remorse (fake). Try to play the sympathy card.
Example:
“I just want my life back.”
“I had no idea of what was going on.”
[B][U]Question: Suppose that don’t work, either[/U][/B]?
Answer: Go on the offensive, call in favors from friends. Paint yourself as the aggreived party.
Example:
“I apologize,” Barton told Hayward. “I do not want to live in a country where any time a citizen or a corporation does something that is legitimately wrong is subject to some sort of political pressure that is – again, in my words, amounts to a shakedown. So I apologize.”
"“What I don’t like from the president’s administration is this sort of ‘I’ll put my boot heel on the throat of BP.’ I think that sounds really un-American in his criticism of business,” he said. “I’ve heard nothing from BP about not paying for the spill. And I think it’s part of this sort of blame game society in the sense that it’s always got to be someone’s fault instead of the fact that sometimes accidents happen.”
[B][U]Question: Suppose that still doesn’t work[/U][/B]?
Answer: Resignation.
Example:
“I’m sailing away on my yacht.”
“I’m not in charge any more.”
[B][U]Question: What other tools are there in the toolbox[/U][/B]?
Answer: Re-direction. Focus on technical details which are all but incomprehensible to 99.99% of people, so it becomes a “he-said/she-said” battle of experts in order to create plausible doubt.
Example:
Let’s “drill down” into the deepest minutia of pressure casings and shear ratings and geologic strata and mud flows and pumps to see if we can discern the technical issues and pinpoint the blame on a piece of equipment rather than on people (including a corporate “person”). The mind-numbing triviality of the
intricacies and jargon of the technical details will certainly be above the head of the dead people, and the financially ruined “small people”, and since they aren’t “experts” at such things, then we can thus dismiss their voices as “un-informed” and exclude them from the discussion and realize that they have no stake, whatsoever, in these “macho macho macho man” discussions and outcomes.
[B]NOTE[/B]: I’m not saying that the specifics of an incident aren’t important, as an aid to understanding the physical aspects of the event, but they divert focus away from the BEHAVIORAL ASPECTS, i.e. the “intention” aspects that poster “dell”, above, describes.
[B][U]Question: What next[/U][/B]?