Glad to see you posting NHC’s “discussion” - the first place any mariner should go. If the crew of the Fantome (lost in Hurricane Mitch 1998) had, they would have seen NHC’s clear confession that they had little data, and little confidence in their “forecast.” The ship might have stayed in Belize, or Omoa. I detailed the story, and the lessons learned, in “The Ship and The Storm.”
When I moved to New Orleans on Aug. 1, 2005, 28 days before Katrina, and saw the models lining up over my house, I got out of town. The house ended up under water for a month. That’s why I live in Vermont now.
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