As of April, conditions in the North Atlantic appear to favor a somewhat more active season than normal, however, less active than in 2024. Several hurricane outlooks have already been published, predicting between 10 and 18 named storms with 5-10 becoming hurricanes and 2-6 becoming major hurricanes. The normal season will produce 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.
One factor this year is that La Nina (which favors storm development) has ended, and the tropical East Pacific conditions are forecast to be neutral during the peak of the 2025 season.
In addition, Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) remain warmer than normal over the western portions of the Atlantic and Caribbean, however, a significant cooling trend has developed since January over the eastern portion of the Main Development Region (MDR) and has slowly spread westward. Early in the seasons tropical storms tend to develop over the western Caribbean and southwestern Atlantic, however, the MDR is the primary location for hurricanes that threaten the U.S. and Caribbean during the peak of hurricane season.
More Details 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook - Fred Pickhardt's Substack