New Tropical Disturbance

A new tropical disturbanceappears to forming over the NW Caribbean Sea in the same general area as Alex and could take a similar track.

Ships and Buoys over the Yucatan Channelare reporting strong to near gale conditions to the east of Invest 96L.

The area of 25-30kt winds that was over the Yucatan Channel yesterday has now moved northward over the north-central Gulf of Mexico and appears to be displaced far to the northeast of the circulation center over the southwestern Gulf.

Surface Chart

NHC Outlook

TD2 Forms from the Disturbance over the Gulf and may become TS Bonnie on Thursday.