You keep on telling use how superior the USN is to other navies in term of what it can do, at least in theory. Being able to train at fighting yesteryears wars is one thing, but doing anything sensible in today’s reality may be a different kettle of tea. Yes you can project power by sailing close t…

Goes much deeper than the planning cycle. Interpersonal relationships outweigh organizational and legal constraints by a wide margin. If you don’t know who you are talking about, you don’t know what you are talking about. Cheers, Earl

Oh yes, I have attended many meetings, dinners and drinking sessions in China and know the importance of Guanxi: http://leadacrosscultures.com/blog/68-understanding-guanxi-business-relationships-human-relationships-and-personal-relationships-as-an-integral-part-of-asian-culture.html For those who …

Problem is nobody knows where the Chinese will make up a story about their territory next? I hear they might be after Pedra Branca next, lol

Then based on your experience I presume that you agree with me that any assertions about the degree to which an action by the Chinese is driven by settled policy or internal politics is pure speculation on our parts. Cheers, Earl

I presume that depends on how well anyone know China, Chinese people, Chinese thinking and Chinese history. Chinese actions are usually deliberate, well planned and not “spur of the moment”. They have had a few thousand years to learn the art of politics and are not in a hurry to meet the next goal…

[image] ombugge: I presume that depends on how well anyone know China, Chinese people, Chinese thinking and Chinese history. I just posted about this: More Information Leads to Worse Decisions If the assumptions you start with are incorrect or you’ve framed the problem wrong then more inform…

Oh yes, I read that one, although I didn’t participate.in the discussion. I presume it has something to do with the accuracy of the information you receive in the first place and your ability to understand if it is inaccurate, propaganda, deliberately misleading, or what is now popularly called “fa…

The only thing that remains true is ‘Power Corrupts and Absolute Power Absolutely Corrupts’ Those in power need to prove to the punters they need to be in power by any means. Press freedoms all have massive clampdowns in Asia/Russia, prison is the result. Do you notice that in Asia the issue of f…

[image] powerabout: Who decides what is fake news? That is easy to answer; whatever is reported that you don’t like is “fake news”. How do I know? I got it from the highest office in the “free world”.

The second Chinese carrier is ready for commissioning and to start work-up soon: [image] China prepares aircraft carrier for sea trial - Global Times China's first domestically built carrier, known as the Type 001A, is undergoing preparations for its first sea trial, while discussions ab…

Navy and South China Sea

Professional Mariner Forum

Kennebec_Captain March 28, 2018, 2:48pm 44

I just posted about this: More Information Leads to Worse Decisions

If the assumptions you start with are incorrect or you’ve framed the problem wrong then more information might just cause an unjustified increase in confidence.

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Navy and South China Sea

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