I don't know why but I'm beginning to think that

Shell got started way too late to actually be able to drill anything this season in the arctic:

Sea Ice Stalls Shell’s Arctic Drilling Program.

By gCaptain Staff On July 9, 2012

(Bloomberg) — Royal Dutch Shell Plc’s drilling off Alaska’s north coast will be delayed until August as the company waits for ice to clear and modifies a spill-response vessel to meet U.S. Coast Guard requirements.

“Our largest impediment to time of drilling is persistent sea ice,” said Curtis Smith, a spokesman for The Hague-based company. “We’ve moved our estimation from late July to potentially the first week of August.”

The company will use the delay to complete renovating a barge called the Arctic Challenger to add oil-recovery equipment that will be deployed in the event of a well blowout.

The company, which has spent almost $5 billion in Alaska, plans to drill as many as five wells this year. Shell’s plans to tap resources in the Chukchi and Beaufort seas, estimated to have more than 20 billion barrels of oil, have been thwarted by environmental groups and native Alaskans who oppose drilling, citing the risks of an oil spill and air pollution.

The Coast Guard said [Friday] the barge has deficiencies in fire-fighting and electrical systems that must be corrected before getting a permit. The company plans to comply with the requirements, John Haney, Shell project development and construction manager, said today in a telephone interview.

Shell is seeking to classify the barge as a mobile platform, rather than as a vessel anchored in one place and unable to clear out in case of storms. The change would better match the type of operations intended for the barge, he said.

A fleet of vessels, led by the Kulluk and Noble Discoverer, departed Seattle en route to Dutch Harbor, Alaska, last month in preparation for the exploratory work, Shell said in a June 27 statement. The barge, operated by Superior Energy Services Inc., remains in a shipyard in Bellingham, Washington, the Coast Guard said.

Besides the Coast Guard certificate, Shell has to obtain a final permit from the Interior Department’s Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement.

Let’s say they’re another week from Dutch then they have to stop and fuel. Then to passage to the arctic, then setting up on anchors and then being able to just spud in. All this time, BSEE still not having given a greenlight to even start. Thrown is heavier pack ice than usual plus the need to shut down to the Bowhead whale migration and your only talking a few weeks available to actually work.

Drilling up there is going to be very difficult if you can only do it during a very small window each year. What they need is a bottom bearing caisson type rig that can drill year round up there with ice roads to supply during the winter and some hurking icebreaking supply vessels (ECO) to service the rigs the rest of the year.

They are going to need a serious ice breaker if the USCG Cutter Healy could barely make it to Nome this winter I can’t see the Aiviq making it anywhere up there.

Well you had to know that this was coming…

Greenpeace Sues Over Arctic Oil Spill Plan.

By gCaptain Staff On July 10, 2012

(Bloomberg) — Royal Dutch Shell Plc should be barred from drilling in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas because its oil-spill plans are inadequate, Greenpeace Inc. and other environmental groups said in a lawsuit.

Greenpeace, the National Audubon Society and other groups sued the U.S. Interior Department, which approved Shell’s spill- response plans earlier this year, saying the agency violated the Clean Water Act by failing to ensure the plans can address a “worst-case oil spill.”

The approvals for Shell’s response plans should be thrown out, and offshore oil and gas activity blocked, until the Interior Department complies with the law, the groups said in a complaint filed today in federal court in Alaska. The filing couldn’t be confirmed in electronic court records.

Shell’s drilling off Alaska’s north coast will be delayed until August as the company waits for ice to clear and modifies a spill-response vessel to meet U.S. Coast Guard requirements, the company said in July.

$5 Billion

Shell, which has spent almost $5 billion in Alaska, plans to drill as many as five wells this year. Shell’s plans to tap resources in the Chukchi and Beaufort seas, estimated to have more than 20 billion barrels of oil, have been targeted by environmental groups and native Alaskans who oppose drilling, citing the risks of an oil spill and air pollution.

Curtis Smith, a spokesman for Shell, said the company is confident the approved spill plans “will withstand legal review.”

“If regulators did not have confidence in every aspect of our oil spill response plans, we would not have the permits that we do and we would not be as close to drilling as we are,” he said.

Adam Fetcher, an Interior Department spokesman, declined to comment on the lawsuit.

The case is Alaska Wilderness League v. Salazar, U.S. District Court, District of Alaska.

Let’s hope it gets thrown out quickly…

[QUOTE=rshrew;74029]They are going to need a serious ice breaker if the USCG Cutter Healy could barely make it to Nome this winter I can’t see the Aiviq making it anywhere up there.[/QUOTE]

Big difference between winter and summer…

Yes indeed, I read C. Capt 's last part of his wrong thought he meant year round boat support.

[QUOTE=rshrew;74029]They are going to need a serious ice breaker if the USCG Cutter Healy could barely make it to Nome this winter I can’t see the Aiviq making it anywhere up there.[/QUOTE]

They have the Fennica, Nordica, the new Aiviq, and the Tor Viking II. All pretty serious icebreakers. I believe the Tor Viking II & Fennica are assigned to the Noble Discoverer, the other two to the Kulluk.

Dont forget the Nanuq. It has an “ice-rated hull.” Or is she just a response vessel?

Big difference between ice rated and ice classed, of which there are several degrees of ice class.

[QUOTE=rshrew;74029]They are going to need a serious ice breaker if the USCG Cutter Healy could barely make it to Nome this winter I can’t see the Aiviq making it anywhere up there.[/QUOTE]

Mind you too that as an icebreaker the HEALY is a pathetic joke. She was built to be a science platform to be operated by the USCG but has failed even in that role hence the construction now of the SIKULIAQ for the NSF.

The US has no REAL icebreakers including the two POLAR class which are not so horribly outclassed by the competition that they no longer are worth the mention.

[QUOTE=Flyer69;74333]Big difference between ice rated and ice classed, of which there are several degrees of ice class.[/QUOTE]

NANUQ:

A1, Ice Class A1, Oil Recovery Capability Class 1, , AMS, ACC, DPS-2

Are they actually going to be breaking ice up there? I guess maybe towards the beginning/end of the season but a majority of the stand-by vessels tug/barge combos are not ice-classed. Tugs/barges have been going to prudoe bay since the 70’s just fine w/o ice class.

so global (un) warming to blame again

There is very little ice cover in the Chukchi Sea. Its below normal and disappearing fast

The ice cover is below normal in the Beaufort Sea, but there is still 40% ice cover near Barrow.

Google “Cryosphere Today” for satellite photos, historical data, and 30 day animations of changes in ice cover.