Kudos to you for admitting your miscalculations of the severity of this crisis. You are not the only one. I noticed that many people quickly forget what they thought in the past & only think in the present. It’s very hard to speculate about the future if you can only remember the present IMO.
I guess we are opposite of each other on predicting the future. On Feb 24 on the “Coronavirus at Sea” thread you told me you thought this was only a hiccup while I was double lining my tin foil hat & stocking up on ninja swords & beef jerky. Now I think things are going to get better really fast while you think we are in it for the long haul. It’s a crazy world. One thing that I always monitor is the world PMI index which is the projection of purchasing managers throughout the world. Historically it has been a reliable resource for guessing the future. But it matched your incorrect projection back in February & matches your current gloomy projection being well below 50. Only time will tell. But I think people are going to want to spend money & live life to the fullest once they see the light at the end of the tunnel. The black plague gave us the Renaissance & the Spanish Flu gave us the Roaring 20’s. I expect history to repeat itself with this global shut down. I think it’s going to be a hell of a ride. People will be braver once this is over IMO.
Comments 43, 45 & 48.