Ships: A Risky Business - Captain George Livingstone

Earl, I’m still working through the material you and @Kennebec_Captain suggested I read regarding John Boyd (thank you, it’s been an eye opening adventure!!) but there’s no need getting me up to speed on Feynman. :heart: that guy!!!

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Yeah, my first thought was that can’t be right. But now I think likely it is true. Confusing the map for the terrain or not seeing the forest for the trees.

Other examples of the same phenomenon are using weather routing programs, in the case of the El Faro, at first it seem totally implausible that the crew would be so confused as to the location of the center but that does seem to be the case.

I find myself sometimes getting buried too deep in a spreadsheet. Sometimes you have to put the drawing down and actually trace out the system.

The Neglected Context of Risk Assessment A Mindset for Method Choice by Karl Weick - makes the case for more traditional "good seamanship.

I know Weick from "Managing the Unexpected